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Philippines Lowers 2025 GDP Growth Target to 5.5-6.5% By Investing.com

  • On June 26, 2025, Budget Secretary Amenah Pangandaman announced that the committee responsible for setting the development budget adjusted the Philippines' GDP growth projection for 2025 downward to a range of 5.5% to 6.5%.
  • The revision responds to evolving global developments, chiefly heightened uncertainties from the Middle East conflict and new US tariffs impacting the economy.
  • The DBCC also updated macroeconomic assumptions including inflation at 2.0%–3.0%, Dubai crude oil prices at $60–$70 per barrel, and a stable foreign exchange rate.
  • Deputy BSP Governor Zeno Ronald Abenoja noted at the Manila Times Economic Forum that economic activity may slow near term due to global volatility, while economist Emilio Neri highlighted positive factors like election spending and lower rice prices.
  • The government plans to lower its budget shortfall from 5.5% of GDP in 2025 down to 4.3% by the year 2028, anticipating steady growth in revenue collections to support fiscal consolidation despite external challenges.
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Thursday, June 26, 2025.
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