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Philadelphia Fed's Anna Paulson says 'modest' rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation
Paulson said underlying inflation is still running about 2.5% to 3%, and traders now see a 64% chance of another hike in October.
On Thursday, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Anna Paulson said she and her colleagues may need to raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to the central bank's 2% target.
Paulson supported the central bank's decision last week to raise the benchmark rate to a range of 3.75%-4%, noting 'the balance of risks had shifted' as underlying inflation showed little progress.
Underlying inflation is running in a range of about 2.5% to 3%, well above the 2% target, and Paulson noted, 'The best I can say about underlying inflation this year is that it hasn't gotten worse.'
New York Fed President John Williams said earlier Thursday it's 'reasonable' to expect another hike before year-end, while traders are pricing in a 64% chance the FOMC hikes again in October.
Fed funds futures contracts imply a rate of 4.8% by the end of 2027, suggesting four quarter-point increases ahead, while Paulson described a 'resilient economy' showing momentum despite tariffs and Middle East conflict.