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Report: Pentagon War Games Warn US Could Lose Taiwan War

Classified Pentagon war games show US forces face critical disadvantages against China's larger missile arsenal and advanced hypersonic weapons in a Taiwan conflict scenario.

  • On Monday, the New York Times editorial board summarized a classified Overmatch brief from the Pentagon Office of Net Assessment warning the US could lose a war over Taiwan with China.
  • Xi Jinping, Chinese President, has ordered the People’s Liberation Army to be ready to seize Taiwan by 2027, with China’s expanded missile and hypersonic arsenals threatening US platforms before arrival.
  • War games show repeated sinkings and heavy platform losses, including the USS Gerald R. Ford and over 100 fifth-generation aircraft, linked to a weakened US defence industrial base and spending at roughly 3.4% of GDP.
  • The editorial calls for prioritizing drones and autonomous systems, urging investment as Congress unveiled a $901 billion NDAA and allocated $1 trillion to the US military budget, while Washington allocated $1 billion for 340,000 unmanned aircraft and tasked Dan Driscoll with modernization.
  • Cyber intrusions by Volt Typhoon threaten US base networks, officials warn US munitions and interceptors are strained, and losing Taiwan would be a severe strategic and symbolic setback amid strategic ambiguity policy since the 1970s.
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Bias Distribution

  • 52% of the sources lean Right
52% Right

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ssbcrack.com broke the news in on Monday, December 8, 2025.
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