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Older adults outnumber children in almost half of US counties: Census data

  • On June 26, 2025, the U.S. Census Bureau published the Vintage 2024 Population Estimates, revealing that in 2024, the number of residents aged 65 and older exceeded those under 18 in almost 50 percent of U.S. counties.
  • This demographic shift results from a steady increase in the population aged 65 and older, declining births this decade, and a narrowing gap between children and older adults.
  • From 2020 to 2024, older adults grew 13.0% to 61.2 million while children under 18 declined 1.7% to 73.1 million, with 1,411 counties now having more older adults than children.
  • Experts like Karen Guzzo and Siobhan O’Keefe link falling birth rates to economic instability and people’s inability to meet childbearing goals, warning this threatens Social Security’s sustainability.
  • These trends increase pressure on social systems and have shaped recent policies like expanded IVF access and prioritizing communities with higher marriage and birth rates.
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census.gov broke the news in on Thursday, June 26, 2025.
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