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North Carolina Revenue Predictions Fall with Recession Risk

  • North Carolina officials downgraded state revenue forecasts on Wednesday in Raleigh due to growing economic uncertainty and recession risks.
  • The downgrade follows February's forecast, which predicted a small revenue surplus, but lower corporate tax collections and business cost pressures reduced estimates.
  • Revised projections indicate that General Fund revenues will surpass last year’s estimates by $364 million, reaching more than $34.5 billion, although this growth is $180 million lower than earlier forecasts had suggested.
  • Economist Nick Clerkin stated 'the probability of a recession has increased,' while Governor Stein criticized budget triggers for creating a fiscal cliff with large funding gaps.
  • The revenue downgrade complicates budget negotiations between House and Senate, which differ on taxes, teacher pay raises, and vacant positions, requiring resolution before final approval by Governor Stein.
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North Carolina revenue predictions fall with recession risk

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — North Carolina officials on Wednesday downgraded anticipated state revenue collections compared to their recent forecast, largely over rising economic uncertainty and the risks of a U.S. recession.

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Mt. Airy News broke the news in on Wednesday, May 28, 2025.
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