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NOAA still expects ‘above-normal’ hurricane season in latest outlook

UNITED STATES, AUG 7 – Forecasters predict 13 to 18 named storms with five to nine hurricanes, including up to five major hurricanes, driven by warmer sea temperatures and neutral El Niño conditions.

  • On Thursday, NOAA’s latest outlook projects 13 to 18 named storms with a 50% chance of above-normal activity for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
  • Amid warmer-than-average seas and an active West African monsoon, NOAA said neutral ENSO conditions are expected to continue, favoring hurricane formation.
  • On Thursday, CSU forecasts a 55% chance of above-average activity, projecting 16 named storms, eight hurricanes, and three major hurricanes for the 2025 season.
  • As we enter the second half of the season, NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham urges preparation, emphasizing each storm's life-threatening hazards and quoting `NOAA stands ready to provide the forecasts and warnings that are vital for safeguarding lives, property, and communities.`
  • The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30 with a peak on Sept. 10, and NOAA’s predictions include four storms formed this year, with climatological first hurricane on Aug. 11.
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Telemundo Houston broke the news in on Wednesday, August 6, 2025.
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