Published 3 days ago • loading... • Updated 1 day ago
National Hurricane Center Tracks Low-Pressure System in Western Gulf
The disturbance has only a 10% chance of tropical development in the next 7 days, and forecasters say Florida is not at risk.
On Friday, the National Hurricane Center began tracking a broad low-pressure system in the Bay of Campeche, assigning it a 10% chance of tropical development over the next seven days.
The system formed from the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristina, which weakened near the Coast of Salvador on Thursday; environmental conditions remain only "marginally conducive" for strengthening.
Forecasters project the disturbance will track inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday, currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms throughout the region.
The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday, where interaction with a frontal boundary may increase rainfall for Southeast Louisiana and Coastal Mississippi.
With El Niño conditions active, experts predict a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, as brisk wind shear across the Gulf and Caribbean will likely suppress tropical activity for the next 10 days.