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National Hurricane Center Tracks Low-Pressure System in Western Gulf

The disturbance has only a 10% chance of tropical development in the next 7 days, and forecasters say Florida is not at risk.

  • On Friday, the National Hurricane Center began tracking a broad low-pressure system in the Bay of Campeche, assigning it a 10% chance of tropical development over the next seven days.
  • The system formed from the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristina, which weakened near the Coast of Salvador on Thursday; environmental conditions remain only "marginally conducive" for strengthening.
  • Forecasters project the disturbance will track inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday, currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms throughout the region.
  • The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday, where interaction with a frontal boundary may increase rainfall for Southeast Louisiana and Coastal Mississippi.
  • With El Niño conditions active, experts predict a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, as brisk wind shear across the Gulf and Caribbean will likely suppress tropical activity for the next 10 days.
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  • 86% of the sources are Center
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northescambia.com broke the news on Thursday, June 11, 2026.
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