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New York sues Kalshi, says its prediction markets are illegal gambling

The complaint seeks to stop Kalshi, recover profits and impose penalties that state officials estimate could reach $36 billion.

  • On July 31, New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit against Kalshi, alleging the prediction market platform operates an illegal gambling business in New York without proper licensing or taxes.
  • The action marks a chapter in an expanding legal battle over whether states can regulate prediction markets under gambling laws or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission holds exclusive federal authority.
  • Tarek Mansour, Kalshi's cofounder, compared the industry's regulatory scrutiny to early challenges faced by Uber and Airbnb, saying "That has played out over and over" with disruptive platforms facing "large lobbies" effective at blocking new competitors.
  • Pendley noted prediction markets operate in a "gray area" between financial trading and gambling, with courts reaching conflicting conclusions about which law applies and raising accountability questions when platforms fail.
  • Conflicting court decisions across the country leave the industry's future uncertain while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission continues defending its jurisdiction and seeking restraining orders to block state-level regulation.
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KGAN broke the news in Cedar Rapids, United States on Thursday, July 30, 2026.
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