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Moonquakes Threaten NASA's Plans for Permanent Lunar Bases

Study shows moonquakes near Apollo 17 site pose a 1 in 5,500 risk of damage during decade-long missions, impacting future lunar habitat planning.

  • Smithsonian Senior Scientist Emeritus Thomas R. Watters and University of Maryland Associate Professor of Geology Nicholas Schmerr found that moonquakes, not meteoroid impacts, reshaped terrain at Apollo 17's Taurus-Littrow valley, linked to the Lee-Lincoln fault.
  • By tracing Apollo 17 samples and boulder tracks, the team inferred seismic activity using boulder trails and landslides and modeled a magnitude 3.0 quake on the Lee-Lincoln fault over 90 million years.
  • The authors calculated daily odds, finding a one in 20 million chance of a damaging moonquake near an active fault, which over 10 years rises to about one in 5,500, with Schmerr warning: `If astronauts are there for a day, they'd just have very bad luck`.
  • Newer lander designs face vulnerabilities as the study warns the Starship Human Landing System may be more exposed to moonquake ground acceleration; researchers advise: `don't build right on top of a scarp.`
  • Given limited seismometer networks, the study used orbital imaging supported by Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter data, with researchers expecting rapid advances from upcoming Artemis missions deploying advanced seismometers, Schmerr said, `We don't have the sort of strong motion instruments that can measure seismic activity on the moon like we do on Earth.
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theweather.com broke the news in on Saturday, August 2, 2025.
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