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Southwest monsoon to reach Kerala on May 27, four days early, says IMD

  • The India Meteorological Department has forecast that the southwest monsoon will arrive in Kerala around May 27, which is approximately four days ahead of the typical June 1 onset date.
  • The early arrival is attributed to favorable pre-monsoon conditions, including substantial cloud cover observed over the Andaman Sea and along the Kerala coastline, which align with the forecast predictions.
  • The IMD predicts above-normal cumulative rainfall during the June to September monsoon season, estimating 105% of the 50-year long-period average of 87 cm, with a ±5% error margin.
  • M Ravichandran, secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, indicated that India can expect rainfall to be higher than average during the June to September monsoon period, with total precipitation projected to reach approximately 105 percent of the long-term average.
  • An early monsoon onset could aid India's agriculture, which supports 42.3% of the population and contributes 18.2% to GDP, and may help moderate inflation through sufficient and timely rains.
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The Hindu broke the news in India on Saturday, May 10, 2025.
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