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Michael O’Leary Warns of 'Biggest Increase in History' for European Airfares

Ryanair says weaker airlines may struggle as fuel costs and limited hedging could drive fares higher and squeeze margins across Europe.

  • On Tuesday, October 20, Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary warned European airfares could see their "biggest increase in history" over the next 12 months, forecasting jumps of 10–20% due to soaring jet fuel costs linked to the Middle East conflict.
  • Ryanair remains 85% unhedged for the coming year, leaving the airline exposed to market volatility as spot rates hover near double the $85 per barrel price at which just 15% of its fuel costs are locked, O'Leary said.
  • Citing the Belgian government's decision to increase its aviation tax from €2 to €7 in January, Ryanair announced it is cutting 20 routes and more than 1.1 million seats from its winter schedule.
  • Bankruptcies and takeovers among weaker carriers will likely accelerate across the European market, further contributing to the record airfare increases facing travelers as industry consolidation reduces capacity, the airline boss expects.
  • O'Leary expects the Federal Aviation Administration to complete certification of the Boeing 737 MAX 10 this month, which would allow the carrier to integrate 16 new aircraft in early 2027 to help mitigate capacity constraints.
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Lean Left

Two airlines could no longer cope with high fuel prices.

·Bratislava, Slovakia
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Center

In 2027, Ryanair's boss predicted a historical surge in fares for airfares. Several factors raised fears of a sharp rise in prices. So what should be expected? Nicolas Doze, LCI economics editor, tells us more. - "Several companies will play their survival": will airfares increase in 2027? Nicolas Doze's analysis (Transports).

Lean Left

Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary has stated that airlines are vulnerable to rising fuel costs and shrinking seat capacity, meaning ticket prices in Europe could increase by up to 20% next year.

·Türkiye
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RocketNews broke the news on Sunday, October 18, 2026.
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