OECD forecasts Mexico recession in 2025-2026; Sheinbaum pushes back

The economic scenarios of Mexico are reduced to recession or low growth, while Trump's tariffs are gaining more strength, according to reports.

OECD forecasts Mexico recession in 2025-2026; Sheinbaum pushes back

Mexico’s economy could decline by 1.3% in 2025 and 0.6% in 2026, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said in a new report issued Monday. That prediction makes Mexico the OECD’s only member country projected to enter a recession in those two years. The OECD’s Interim Economic Outlook downgraded its GDP prediction for Mexico’s economy from its previous December growth forecast of 1.2% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026.  The Organizati…

If the imposition of 25 percent tariffs on the majority of Mexican products entering the United States as of April 2, the Mexican economy would fall into recession during 2025, and the following year, with a contraction of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 1.3 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively, according to forecasts made by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).“These projections are based on the assumption that…

Mexico Headed for Two-Year Downturn Under U.S. 'Fair Trade' Tariff Policy, OECD Reports

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) now predicts Mexico will fall into recession lasting through 2026, driven primarily by escalating tariff conflicts. Economic experts at the OECD estimate Mexico’s economy will contract by 1.3% in 2025 and shrink another 0.6% in 2026. These projections mark a dramatic reversal from the OECD’s November forecast, […]

Chihuahua.- As the OECD predicts that Mexico will go into recession due to the impact of the 25% tariffs announced for the next 2 April by the president of the United States, Donald Trump, the president of Canacintra, Armando Gutiérrez Cuevas, called on companies to be prudent in managing the cash flow and protecting jobs. He pointed out that they have gone through several difficult situations, the most recent was the Covid-19 pandemic, and many…

PARIS, FRANCE.- In a context of geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) projected that Mexico will have an economic recession in 2025 and 2026 if tariffs advance. The organization projected that the aggressiveness of Trump’s trade policies will affect Mexico, with a negative GDP of -1.03% this year and that it will persist with a drop of 0.6 in 2026. According to the organizat…