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Labour giveaways risk sparking £30bn tax raid

  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces mounting fiscal pressure in 2025 due to evaporating headroom and rising costs amid ongoing economic challenges in the UK.
  • This pressure stems from a combination of reduced fiscal headroom by about £5 billion since March, demands to increase defense spending, and the impact of Donald Trump's trade war.
  • Labour’s planned spending reversals on winter fuel payments and disability cuts, alongside a rise in child poverty, add to an £18 billion Treasury cost, intensifying the fiscal gap.
  • Economists warn that slower productivity growth and rising gilt yields near 27-year highs may reduce fiscal room, making a £30 billion tax increase likely despite manifesto pledges not to raise major taxes.
  • Reeves faces political and economic risks including pressure from within her party, potential cuts or tax hikes, and the threat of market instability if fiscal rules are loosened.
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Financial Times broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Monday, May 26, 2025.
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