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Knicks vs. Pistons: Expert Prediction, Picks, and Kalshi Markets for Tonight’s Marquee Matchup

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the game 10,000 times and predicts the over on 222.5 points, with one spread side hitting nearly 60% of the time.

  • Tonight at Little Caesars Arena, the SportsLine Projection Model simulated Knicks vs. Pistons 10,000 times and projects a total over 222.5 points.
  • With momentum on their side, the New York Knicks have added Jose Alvarado, while Josh Hart and Karl-Anthony Towns remain questionable.
  • Model outputs and market splits show a combined ~227 points with Over in 52% of sims, while public betting splits favor Over 222.5 with 87.6% of tickets and 86.8% of money.
  • Market data shows late support for New York, with 57.9% of spread tickets and 58.1% of money backing the Knicks, and sharp money favoring them in the moneyline with 63.0%.
  • Trends point to a low-scoring tilt as the Knicks' Under trend hits 80% of last 10 games as favorite, while the Pistons hold a 53.0% home rebound edge.
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Bias Distribution

  • 67% of the sources are Center
67% Center

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New York Post broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, February 6, 2026.
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