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Kansas 2026: Hamilton and Marshall in Tight Senate Race; Masterson Leads for Governor  - Emerson Polling

Hamilton leads Marshall by 2 points as independents break his way and the economy ranks as Kansas voters’ top issue, the poll said.

  • On Friday, a new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey showed Democrat Adam Hamilton leading Republican Senator Roger Marshall 45% to 43% in the U.S. Senate race, with 4% supporting Libertarian David Graham.
  • Hamilton, a first-time candidate, is courting moderate voters after winning the Democratic primary in August. The Cook Political Report shifted the contest from "solid Republican" to "likely Republican" following his nomination.
  • Vice President JD Vance visited an Olathe manufacturing facility on Monday to support Marshall, while Sen. John Kennedy, R-Louisiana, admitted on Thursday that the race's tightness surprised him.
  • Hamilton leads among independent voters 42% to 27%, a key demographic in the closely contested race. Marshall faces scrutiny over his medical practice record, including lawsuits against more than 700 patients for unpaid bills.
  • Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in 94 years, making Hamilton's bid historically significant despite the state remaining a Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8.
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sunflowerstatejournal.com broke the news on Friday, September 18, 2026.
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