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Item Club Warns Iran War Could Cut 163,000 UK Jobs

The forecasting group says rising energy and shipping costs will hit manufacturing, construction and retail, with unemployment projected to rise 0.4%.

  • The United Kingdom is projected to lose 163,000 jobs this year due to economic troubles linked to the Iran war, with lower-income regions most affected.
  • South Wales and the Humber, two of the UK's poorest regions, will face the toughest job market conditions due to rising energy prices.
  • UK employment is expected to decrease by 0.4% in 2023, equating to a net loss of 163,000 jobs.
  • Employment in major cities such as London, Birmingham, Leeds, and Glasgow is predicted to decline significantly, impacting sectors like retail and hospitality.
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Evening StandardEvening Standard
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UK set to shed 163,000 jobs amid Iran war fallout – report

The Item Club warns that two of the UK’s lowest income regions – South Wales and the Humber – will suffer the most painful jobs market woes.

·London, United Kingdom
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Bias Distribution

  • 40% of the sources lean Left
40% Left

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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Sunday, May 10, 2026.
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