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Jasmine Crockett leads James Talarico by 8 points in Senate Democratic primary, new poll finds

Crockett's lead is fueled by 89% support from Black voters and 57% from women, according to a Texas State University poll of 1,600 likely Democratic primary voters.

  • On Friday, the poll found Jasmine Crockett leads James Talarico 51% to 43% in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas, according to Texas Southern University.
  • After filing Monday, Crockett, U.S. Rep., cited internal polling for entering the race and has 94% name recognition compared to Talarico's 79%.
  • Polling shows stark demographic divides: Black voters back Crockett 89% to 8%, women favor her 57% to 36%, while Talarico leads white voters 53% to 40%, Latino voters 51% to 41%, and voters 18–34 by 29 points.
  • Talarico's campaign responded that the poll shows he remains in a strong position and noted the single-digit race is before major spending, while Democrats see the Senate seat as their best statewide opportunity against John Cornyn.
  • The Texas State survey found 1,600 likely voters between Dec. 9 and 11 believed Crockett would better mobilize low-propensity Democratic voters by a 53% to 11% margin, and she says she must "expand the electorate.
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Spectrum Local News broke the news in United States on Thursday, December 11, 2025.
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