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Yen Heads for Biggest Weekly Drop Since May Despite Tokyo's Support Pledges

Traders watched Tokyo for signs of intervention as markets priced a 25 basis point BOJ hike this year and rising oil prices supported the dollar.

  • On Thursday, the dollar eased from a one-week high as the yen recovered slightly from a nearly four-decade low, with traders weighing potential intervention from Tokyo and Bank of Japan rate hikes.
  • Rising oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields hoisted the dollar, driven by heightened tensions in the Iran war and threats by Iran-aligned Houthis in Yemen against Red Sea energy routes.
  • According to CME FedWatch, markets price in a 31.5% chance for a Federal Reserve rate hike, up from 10.7% last week, as Juan Perez of Monex USA noted ongoing negotiations.
  • Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama warned authorities would take "decisive action" to curb excessive currency weakness, while the BOJ remains on alert for inflation risks that could force faster rate hikes.
  • Mallika Sachdeva of Deutsche Bank Research noted the ultimate impact "will depend on the levers the government chooses to pull," including Government Pension Investment Fund mandates.
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bipns.com broke the news on Tuesday, July 21, 2026.
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