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Oil Producers Are Trying to Leave the Strait of Hormuz Behind. Iran Has Other Plans.

Goldman Sachs said enough new capacity could divert nearly 45% of pre-war Gulf oil exports away from the strait by end-2027.

  • Gulf nations are accelerating pipeline and port construction to bypass the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating regional conflict, with Iraq and the United Arab Emirates already building major infrastructure to ensure energy export security.
  • Iran and its Houthi allies in Yemen have threatened to disrupt oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, prompting Gulf producers to seek alternative routes to protect their economies.
  • Iraq committed $1.5 billion to build a 435-mile pipeline to pump 2.5 million barrels of oil per day, while Goldman Sachs analysts project these routes could divert nearly 45 percent of pre-war exports by 2027.
  • Analysts warn that new pipelines remain vulnerable to military strikes, as Iran previously struck a pumping station on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline in April, slashing throughput by 700,000 barrels per day.
  • While alternate routes could carry up to 7.3 million barrels of oil per day by 2028, experts note these pipelines serve as a geopolitical hedge rather than a total replacement for the Strait of Hormuz.
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Digi 24 broke the news in Bucharest, Romania on Thursday, July 16, 2026.
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