Goldman Sachs Raises Odds Of US Recession To 45%
- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Economists raised the US recession probability to 45% from 35% in a research note dated April 6.
- Jan Hatzius led the economists in lowering the 2025 Q4-to-Q4 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% from 1%.
- The economists noted that financial conditions have sharply tightened, impacting capital spending more than previously thought.
- Goldman Sachs now expects around 130 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, reflecting the increased recession probability.
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