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Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile up
The FAO said 22% of 150 countries saw food prices outpace headline inflation in the September quarter as supply shocks lifted grain costs.
On Monday, UN Food and Agriculture Organization chief economist Maximo Torero warned that global food inflation will likely accelerate and persist into 2027 as shipping disruptions and El Niño-driven droughts squeeze cereal supplies.
Attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure and Red Sea insecurity are disrupting shipments, while the US-Israeli war on Iran has raised fuel prices and disrupted fertilizer exports through the Strait of Hormuz.
Jakarta parking attendant Muhamad Yasin says rising costs have put staples beyond reach, while Nestle India managing director Manish Tiwary cited a "challenging environment" due to higher commodity costs.
PT Indofood director Franciscus Welirang noted that weak local currencies amplify costs for processors, while analysts warn rising prices heighten social unrest risks and may prompt governments to impose trade bans.
Alexander Karavaytsev, a senior economist at the International Grains Council, expects a significant new wave of demand in coming months as key importers return to world markets, potentially straining thin global grain inventories.