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Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile up

The FAO said 22% of 150 countries saw food prices outpace headline inflation in the September quarter as supply shocks lifted grain costs.

  • On Monday, UN Food and Agriculture Organization chief economist Maximo Torero warned that global food inflation will likely accelerate and persist into 2027 as shipping disruptions and El Niño-driven droughts squeeze cereal supplies.
  • Attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure and Red Sea insecurity are disrupting shipments, while the US-Israeli war on Iran has raised fuel prices and disrupted fertilizer exports through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Jakarta parking attendant Muhamad Yasin says rising costs have put staples beyond reach, while Nestle India managing director Manish Tiwary cited a "challenging environment" due to higher commodity costs.
  • PT Indofood director Franciscus Welirang noted that weak local currencies amplify costs for processors, while analysts warn rising prices heighten social unrest risks and may prompt governments to impose trade bans.
  • Alexander Karavaytsev, a senior economist at the International Grains Council, expects a significant new wave of demand in coming months as key importers return to world markets, potentially straining thin global grain inventories.
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ReutersReuters
+9 Reposted by 9 other sources
Center

Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile up

Muhamad Yasin, a 63-year-old parking attendant in central Jakarta, says he has cut back on meals as rising prices have put food staples beyond his reach.

·London, United Kingdom
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Monday, October 19, 2026.
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