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New Poll Shows This Dem Surging in Battle for the 2028 Presidential Nomination

Governor Newsom's support rose 13 points to 25% in the 2028 Democratic primary, with gains among young and elderly voters, tying him with JD Vance at 44% in a hypothetical matchup, Emerson poll shows.

  • Emerson College Polling released an August 25-26, 2025 survey showing California Governor Gavin Newsom leading the 2028 Democratic primary with 25% support.
  • Newsom’s rise follows a 13-point gain from a June poll as he capitalizes on national political battles and a proposed redistricting plan to boost Democrats.
  • The poll also shows Pete Buttigieg at 16% and Kamala Harris at 11%, while Republicans favor Vice President JD Vance with over half support in their contest.
  • Newsom’s support surged among voters under 30 from 6% to 18%, Black voters from 9% to 23%, and seniors over 70 from 13% to 31%, according to Spencer Kimball.
  • Observers note it is too early to predict outcomes, as the primary election dynamics and party unity could critically affect a future Newsom versus Vance matchup.
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Townhall broke the news in Washington, United States on Friday, August 29, 2025.
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