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Republicans Locked in 3-Way Race to Succeed McConnell in Kentucky: Poll

An Emerson College poll shows Barr leads with 24%, Cameron 21%, Morris 14%, while 38% of Kentucky GOP primary voters remain undecided.

  • The Emerson College Polling survey conducted January 31-February 2, 2026, found Rep. Andy Barr leading with 24%, Daniel Cameron at 21%, Nate Morris at 14%, and 38% undecided.
  • Outside donors have injected large sums, including a $1.4 million contribution from Elon Musk to Morris's super PAC, fueled by the open seat created by McConnell's retirement.
  • Emerson's methodology shows the overall sample of 1,000 likely voters has a credibility interval of +/-3 points, with n=523 Republican primary voters and a 95% confidence standard.
  • The Daniel Cameron campaign criticized the poll as 'unserious and silly,' while Barr's campaign spokesman Alex Bellizzi said it 'shows what Kentuckians have been seeing on the ground.'
  • Early polls and the calendar show early Republican-sponsored polls varied by seven to 26 points, and the Kentucky Senate primary date, May 19, allows campaigns to sway undecided voters.
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Townhall broke the news in Washington, United States on Wednesday, February 4, 2026.
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