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Between India and EU, a Carbon Gap and an FTA Bridge

The EU's carbon tax on Indian steel and aluminium exports requires plant-level emissions verification and may force price cuts of 15-22%, impacting market access, experts say.

  • On January 1, 2026, the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism moved into its payment phase, imposing a carbon cost on every shipment of Indian steel and aluminium to the 27-nation bloc.
  • Industry data show steel and aluminium face the biggest exposure because their manufacturing is highly energy‑intensive, emissions vary by production route—BF‑BOF highest, DRI lower, EAF lowest—and coal‑fired power raises CBAM penalties.
  • Mandated independent verification begins in 2026 for plant‑level emissions accounting, requiring quarterly fuel, electricity, and production tracking by EU‑recognised or ISO 14065‑compliant verifiers, or default emission values set 30 per cent higher.
  • GTRI warns many exporters may need to cut prices 15–22 per cent as India's steel and aluminium exports to the EU already fell 24.4 per cent from $7.71 billion in FY24 to $5.82 billion in FY25.
  • As a structural trade barrier, CBAM has become central to India‑EU trade negotiations, and GTRI recommends exporters adopt a 'CBAM shadow price' to evaluate embedded emissions, a key aspect of European climate‑trade policy.
Insights by Ground AI

10 Articles

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The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBM) enters into force on 1 January 2026. The scheme, known as the "European carbon tax", aims to protect the European industry from foreign competition, but is criticized by overseas industry, in particular.

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ABP News broke the news in India on Wednesday, December 31, 2025.
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