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South Africa Economy Grew Just 0.5% in Q1 Before Detonation of Iran War Impact

Finance and agriculture led the 0.5% increase, while manufacturing and fixed investment declined, Statistics South Africa said.

  • On Tuesday, Statistics South Africa reported the economy expanded 0.5% in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing the 0.3% growth forecast by Reuters-polled economists.
  • Nine of 10 sectors tracked by Statistics South Africa grew, led by agriculture at 3.9% and finance at 0.9%, while manufacturing output declined 0.8%.
  • Fixed investment fell 1.1% over the quarter, with machinery spending down 3.4% and residential buildings down 7.2%, prompting concern from Stats SA national accounts director Bokang Vumbukani-Lepolesa.
  • Inflation fears prompted the South African Reserve Bank to hike interest rates earlier this month, following fuel price spikes linked to the Iran conflict.
  • Standard Bank economist Shireen Darmalingam warned growth may slow due to the conflict, while Oxford Economics Africa senior economist Jee-A van der Linde maintained a 1.1% forecast for 2026.
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News24 broke the news in South Africa on Tuesday, June 9, 2026.
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