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Asteroid May Hit Satellites And Cause Spectacular Shooting Stars — What To Know

MOON, JUN 23 – Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4.3% chance of hitting the Moon in 2032, potentially creating a 1-km crater and endangering thousands of satellites with debris, scientists say.

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in late December 2024, poses a 4.3% probability of impacting the Moon around December 22, 2032, prompting ongoing observation due to the potential scientific insights and risks involved.
  • Initial Earth impact fears were ruled out after coordinated observations, but the rising Moon impact risk has prompted plans to possibly deflect YR4 in 2028.
  • If YR4 impacts the lunar surface, it is expected to create a crater approximately one kilometer wide, blasting as much as 100 million kg of moon material into space; this debris could endanger satellites and generate a meteor shower visible from Earth.
  • Lead author Paul Wiegert said the impact would equal a large nuclear explosion and produce a "spectacular" meteor shower visible on Earth, though Earth's atmosphere would shield surface rocks.
  • The event offers a rare chance to test planetary defense while potentially endangering satellites, urging continued monitoring and preparations for possible mitigation actions.
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The asteroid 2024 YR4 is no danger to the Earth - but the moon could get a hit in 2032. Experts assume that this would be visible from Earth. In good weather a global mega-event. But what consequences would the impact have for the Earth's satellite?

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When asteroids enter the atmosphere, they can release or beat enormous forces. They may have brought the building blocks for life to Earth.

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Barron's broke the news in New York, United States on Monday, June 23, 2025.
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