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Drones, Oil and Escalation: Ukraine’s Deep Strikes Impact Russia, Altering War Calculations

Ukraine's drone strikes have cut Russia's refining capacity by about 500,000 barrels daily, forcing fuel rationing and stretching Russian air defenses over a wider area.

  • Ukraine's homegrown strike capability enables independent drone launches without Western approval, and Kyiv says the strikes aim to force Russia to reroute supplies, stretch air defenses and degrade Moscow's operations.
  • The strikes have hit major refineries and trimmed refining capacity, analysts say, with 16 major Russian refineries targeted and the International Energy Agency estimating cuts of about 500,000 barrels a day.
  • Gasoline shortages and rationing have appeared in parts of Russia following repeated attacks on refineries, and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says the strikes forced the Kremlin to import fuel and curb exports, causing a 20% gasoline supply loss.
  • Drones now routinely fly 1,000 kilometers, shifting the geography of the conflict, but Fidel and operators say fewer than 30% reach targets, and Western analysts call the effect serious but not crippling.
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Lean Left

Ukrainian drones struck several Russian cities on Friday, including Vladimir, Yaroslavl and Orel, targeting key energy infrastructure. In Orel, drones hit a thermal power plant and in Vladimir, an electrical substation. In Yaroslavl, explosions were reported near the Slavneft-YANOS oil refinery, Russia's fifth-largest.

Lean Left

Drone strikes forced the Kremlin even to import fuel.

Lean Left

During the night between Thursday and Friday, drone attacks on energy infrastructure were recorded in several Russian regions, including the Oryol, Vladimir and Yaroslavl regions, according to Russian officials and the media, reports Index.hr.

·Belgrade, Serbia
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Новая газета. Европа broke the news in on Wednesday, October 29, 2025.
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