Hung Parliament Still Likely Outcome of Tasmanian Election, with Liberals Well Ahead of Labor in New Poll
TASMANIA, AUSTRALIA, JUL 14 – DemosAU poll shows Liberals lead with 34.9% while independents gain 20.3%, signaling a hung parliament and likely coalition talks after Saturday’s election.
- Conducted July 6–10, a DemosAU Pulse Tasmania poll shows Liberals at 34.9%, Labor at 24.7% and the Greens at 15.6%.
- Following an 18–17 no-confidence vote on June 5 over budget, power sales and ferry delays, the election was called, attributed to AAP.
- Using electorate-level results, the poll estimates Liberals on 13–14 seats, Labor on 9–10, the Greens on 6–7, with independents on 4–6.
- The Poll Bludger warns Tasmania is headed for a hung parliament, with Liberals unlikely to secure a majority and forced to negotiate with Greens or independents.
- A YouGov survey finds 52% of Tasmanian voters prioritize health, 45% public housing, and 33% oppose the proposed Macquarie Point stadium.
10 Articles
10 Articles
Budget, Spirit of Tasmania ferries covered in debate with few surprises
Ahead of Saturday's Tasmanian election, Liberal Premier Jeremy Rockliff and Labor leader Dean Winter debated the issues. Both parties claimed success for their respective leaders, but what did we learn?

Tasmania is facing another hung parliament. It could cost the state its AFL team
Tasmanians will go to the polls on Saturday July 19, for the second time in 16 months, after a no-confidence motion in Liberal Premier Jeremy Rockliff saw an early election called. Whether voters retain Liberal, or switch to Labor and Dean Winter, the result will likely have ramifications for the Tasmanian Devils AFL team and a proposed Hobart stadium
Tasmanian politics gets brutal as 19 July election day nears
Both major parties have promised bulk-billed GP clinics. Photo: Michelle Kroll. Tasmania goes to the polls again this Saturday and, as expected, there have been few holds barred in the past week as campaigning intensifies. Tasmanian Labor launched its campaign on Sunday 13 July in Devonport, promising to double the number of planned bulk-billed GP clinics across the state to 10. Under its previous TassieDoc plan, Labor said GPs would be employed…
Comings and goings in Tasmanian politics
Hare-Clark is basically unique amongst Australian electoral systems because there is a realistic possibility that a member of parliament will lose their seat to a fellow member of the same party – indeed it happens fairly regularly. Another unusual feature is the use of countbacks. Members of parliament often choose to quit mid-term, and are replaced by a fellow member of their party without the need for a by-election. But those mid-term replace…
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- 80% of the sources lean Left
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