Democrats See a Path to Win the Senate. It’s Narrow and Has Little Room for Error
Senate Democrats aim to net four seats to reclaim control, relying on competitive battleground states and demographic shifts favoring their party, a Gallup poll shows 47% leaning Democratic.
- Senate Democratic leaders say they have a path to winning the Senate majority in November, though it has very little wiggle room, Schumer told The Associated Press Tuesday.
- Independent voters moving in Democrats' direction over the past year, a Gallup poll found 47% now identify with or lean Democratic versus 42% Republican, and former Rep. Mary Peltola announced Monday she will run amid Michigan’s open seat after Sen. Gary Peters's retirement.
- Crowded primaries in Minnesota, Texas and Iowa force Democrats to spend resources early, while several top recruits in their 70s raise questions about generational appeal.
- To flip control, Democrats almost certainly must sweep four pickups, including Sen. Jon Ossoff, Georgia, and Michigan open seat, to net four seats by November.
- Given Donald Trump’s 2024 margins in Alaska and Ohio, Republican strategists doubt Democrats can win most 2026 contests, though economic unease could favor Democrats if voter discontent persists compared to last year.
38 Articles
38 Articles
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Democratic strategists know that in the 2026 midterms, their chances of flipping the U.S. House of Representatives are much better than their chances of flipping the U.S. Senate — where they will need to capture at least four GOP-held seats in order to win a majority. But Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) Chair Kirsten Gillibrand (D-New York) is arguing that the political environment for Republicans has become so "toxic" that flipp…
Democratic leaders in the U.S. Senate believe they have a way to win the majority in November, although it would be with very little room for manoeuvre.
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