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Democrats edge out, neck and neck with Republicans in 5 key Senate races: Polls

The polls show Democrats leading or tied in five states, with nearly half of voters wanting a senator who will check Donald Trump, the Times said.

  • A New York Times/Siena poll shows Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton by six points in the Texas U.S. Senate race, a result striking enough to put this Republican stronghold in play.
  • Talarico contrasts with Paxton, who faces a list of grievances, marriage infidelity, corruption allegations and attempted impeachments, defining the ideological choice facing Texas voters.
  • The Times attributes Talarico's lead to his "clean-scrubbed boyish looks and unblemished resume" compared to Paxton, while independents are breaking sharply toward Democrats on cost of living and healthcare.
  • Independents breaking toward Democrats who hold double-digit trust advantages on cost of living create what analysts describe as a "perfect storm" for Republicans in Texas.
  • Democrats must gain four seats to flip the Senate, where Republicans currently hold a 53–47 majority, making this Texas contest a critical building block for potential Democratic control.
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Live Mint broke the news in New Delhi, India on Monday, September 28, 2026.
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