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Chinese Study on US Missile Defense Gaps Validated by Iran War, Analysts Say

Iran's hypersonic missiles have penetrated U.S. and Israeli defenses, depleting interceptor stocks rapidly amid escalating regional conflict, straining missile defense sustainability.

  • On Saturday, a Chinese research team led by Liao Longwen published in Tactical Missile Technology warning U.S. missile defence systems face severe limits against hypersonic speed and manoeuvrability.
  • Iran's launch tempo, including 574 MRBMs over 12 days, reflects large missile capacity with stocks estimated in the low thousands, while footage and IRGC announcements showed missile breaches of Israeli and American defences.
  • Analysts note U.S. forces fired more than 150 THAAD interceptors during June 2025, expending 92 rounds costing about $1.17 billion, while replenishment constraints delay restocking over a year.
  • Despite initial reports, U.S. officials warn retaliation from Iran and allied militias could broaden the conflict, with no U.S. casualties reported as of Saturday.
  • Longer-Term studies suggest U.S. strategic planners warn interceptor depletion compresses decision timelines and risks eroding Pacific deterrence, while replenishment constraints could force stock diversion from the Pacific and Taiwan.
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Palestine Chronicle broke the news in Washington, United States on Saturday, February 28, 2026.
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