'Chances Remain High for a Historic Event': El Niño Is Strengthening, Forecasters Warn
The WMO said the event could become one of the strongest since 1950 and may drive drought, flooding and record warmth worldwide.
- On Thursday, the World Meteorological Organization confirmed El Niño is firmly established and strengthening rapidly, with nearly 100% certainty it will persist through February 2027.
- WMO Secretary General Celeste Saulo told the Global Heat Forum in Bangkok that the ocean is "the warmest we've ever measured it," releasing stored heat and making more energy available for the event.
- Sea-Surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific are forecast to reach a record 3.7 degrees Celsius above normal from October-November-December, significantly exceeding the previous 2.6°C record set in 2015-2016.
- Researchers at the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab predict this "super-El Niño" could result in 451,000 excess deaths globally, while increasing risks of drought and floods through shifted rainfall patterns.
- Dubbed a "Godzilla" El Niño in Indonesia, the event could rank among the strongest observed since 1950, with WMO forecasts indicating further intensification before the anticipated December peak.
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246 Articles
The WMO warns that El Niño has the potential to be the strongest since 1950. It is predicted to peak in December 2026, triggering the risk of drought and flooding.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicted the intensification and peaking of the El Niño phenomenon next December, as it continued until February 2027, likely to be one of the strongest recorded since 1950.
The Pacific overheats and El Niño looks out of standard. After a record at +4.0°C in September, the Japanese agency is planning to maintain it until winter, while the World Meteorological Organization is planning to...
El Niño has strengthened to strongest on record, Japan weather agency says
Increasing ocean heat is now threatening to change the world's climate. The super-duper El Niño is rapidly strengthening, and ocean temperatures are expected to reach up to 3.7 degrees above normal between October and December.
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