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BOJ keeps rates steady, revises up inflation forecast

JAPAN, JUL 31 – The Bank of Japan raised its inflation forecast to 2.7% for fiscal 2025 while keeping rates at 0.5%, signaling possible further hikes amid wage growth and trade deal optimism.

  • On Thursday, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates steady at 0.5% by unanimous vote, raising its inflation forecast for the current fiscal year.
  • About a week after the U.S.-Japan trade deal, tariffs on U.S.-bound automobile shipments were lowered, easing economic uncertainty.
  • Data from the BOJ’s latest projections show the inflation forecast was raised to 2.8% from 2.3% and economic growth expectations edged up to 0.6% from 0.5%.
  • Following the BOJ decision, markets included the Japanese yen strengthening approximately 1.24% and government bond yields rising on expectations of tighter policy.
  • Looking ahead, Masato Koike of Sompo Institute Plus is open to a potential policy shift later this year, while Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics forecasts another 0.25% rate hike in October.
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Mainichi Shimbun broke the news in Chiyoda, Japan on Wednesday, July 30, 2025.
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