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Bailey Says Markets Price In Inflation Risk Premium

Bailey said investors are pricing in three Bank of England rate hikes over the next 12 months as energy-driven inflation risks rise.

  • On Tuesday, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Monetary Policy Committee members faced MPs at Parliament's Treasury Committee to discuss interest rates, inflation, and ongoing economic pressures in the UK.
  • Global inflationary risks remain tilted to the upside, Bailey told the committee, as the continuing Middle East conflict threatens to drive energy prices higher and exacerbate financial market volatility.
  • External MPC member Megan Greene, who voted for an increase last month, advocated for a "risk management strategy" to address "incredible uncertainty" regarding energy and commodity costs rather than waiting for conclusive evidence.
  • Investors are currently pricing in three rate hikes over the next 12 months, though Bailey stressed that such increases remain dependent on future economic developments rather than being unconditional.
  • The committee will meet next week to vote on whether to increase, hold, or reduce rates from the current 3.75% level amid persistent inflation and energy price risks.
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The President of the Bank of England (BoE), Andrew Bailey, said on Tuesday (8) that he wants to dispel the idea that it is only a matter of time before the British central bank increases interest rates, rather than a possibility that depends on economic and geopolitical developments. Bailey stated that investors have predicted interest increases above what can only be explained by the most likely trajectory of BoE's policy, a risk award that ref…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Bank has no ‘secret plan’ for unconditional interest rate hikes, says Bailey

Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, told MPs at Parliament’s Treasury Committee that there are still ‘upside’ risks to inflation.

·London, United Kingdom
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Saptamana Financiara broke the news on Tuesday, September 8, 2026.
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