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UK's IG Group Bets Big on US Prediction Markets with $1.3 Billion Underdog Deal

The proposal would set a new public-interest test for blocking contracts as firms seek designated contract market status to list event contracts.

  • Binance.US CEO Stephen Gregory announced on Wednesday plans to apply for a Commodity Futures Trading Commission designated contract market license next month, expanding the exchange into prediction markets.
  • A designated contract market serves as the core authorization for federally regulated exchanges to list futures, options, and event-based contracts, making it the mandatory starting point for firms operating in the United States.
  • Binance joins a competitive field that already includes Gemini, Coinbase, Robinhood, Kalshi, and Polymarket, which have previously secured licenses or built clearinghouse joint ventures to capture growing interest in event contracts.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is rewriting rules defining 'gaming' and 'contrary to the public interest,' while simultaneously suing nine states, including Arizona and New York, to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction.
  • For an industry that raised a combined $25 billion in trading volume across CFTC-registered markets in 2025, regulatory clarity remains critical for institutional traders; clearer standards could attract further capital to the evolving prediction market landscape.
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Bloomberg broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.
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