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Beware of Predictions for the u.s. Economy in 2026

Predicting a central scenario for the US economy in 2026 does not seem difficult, but it is possible that the probability that this scenario materializes does not exceed 50%: instead of the "normal" distribution in the form of a bell, today we have another one with unusually increased (good and bad) extremes whose probability is significant and which can also materialize. The US economy is not following a unique path, but is stuck in a tense pul…
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Predicting a central scenario for the US economy in 2026 does not seem difficult, but it is possible that the probability that this scenario materializes does not exceed 50%: instead of the "normal" distribution in the form of a bell, today we have another one with unusually increased (good and bad) extremes whose probability is significant and which can also materialize. The US economy is not following a unique path, but is stuck in a tense pul…

·Costa Rica
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elfinancierocr.com broke the news in Costa Rica on Friday, December 26, 2025.
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