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Bettors on Prediction Market Threaten Israeli Journalist to Change Iran Missile Report

Emanuel Fabian faced escalating death threats from bettors wagering over $14 million on Polymarket who pressured him to alter his missile strike report to influence bet outcomes.

  • On March 15, Emanuel Fabian, military correspondent for The Times of Israel, said he received death threats referencing his home and family with specific details, prompting police to investigate.
  • The March 10 Polymarket wager held nearly $16 million, motivating bettors to seek a reclassification since intercepted missiles are excluded from a 'Yes' resolution.
  • Daniel sent Fabian several more emails over the next couple of days demanding a correction, and the tone continued to grow more urgent; Fabian first received an email from Aviv, then saw fabricated emails, offers of winnings, and colleague-based persuasion attempts.
  • Police are investigating threats after Fabian said 'You have exactly half an hour to correct your attempt at influence, Haim wrote,' raising safety concerns. Sen. Chris Murphy called it a serious example prompting calls to curb prediction markets.
  • This episode adds to ongoing scrutiny of prediction markets as Public Citizen alerted the Commodity Futures Trading Commission earlier this month about suspicious bets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Insights by Ground AI

11 Articles

Lean Left

If Polymarket was already controversial because of the possible involvement of insider users, now players from the world's largest prediction market platform have taken a step further in the delusion of making tragedy a profit-making business.Keep reading...

·Granada, Spain
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The Times of Israel broke the news in Jerusalem, Israel on Monday, March 16, 2026.
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