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Analyst Estimates Kimi K3 Erased $314B from OpenAI, Anthropic Valuations

Moonshot said demand for Kimi K3 was strong enough to pause new sign-ups as annual recurring revenue reached $300 million.

  • On Saturday, Bloomberg reported that Beijing-based Moonshot AI is preparing for a Hong Kong IPO within six months, wrapping a fundraising round that may value the company at more than $30 billion.
  • Annual recurring revenue hit $300 million in June, up from $200 million in April, while the Kimi K3 model released last week matched or exceeded top U.S. benchmarks, accelerating the listing timeline.
  • Moonshot has begun dismantling its "red chip" structure, a requirement for smoother overseas listing, and held talks with China International Capital Corp and Goldman Sachs Group Inc about working on the offering.
  • Investors have officially received a shareholder resolution seeking backing for the IPO, a listing that would mark one of the largest Chinese AI offerings on record.
  • Separately, Chinese AI start-up DeepSeek is planning a fresh fundraising round at a valuation of about 500 billion yuan ahead of a potential mainland IPO in 2027, shaping a competitive landscape.
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There is a growing concern in Washington about Beijing's recent technological advances, with the surprising Kimi K3 model. The WSJ reports that US AI leaders are warning about Chinese models, Bessent ensures full vigilance and possible sanctions. While the Financial Times reports that China is considering the export of technologies

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Kimi K3, an open-weight model from the Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI, has shaken the domestic stock market. This is because skepticism has spread regarding whether Big Tech's astronomical AI capital expenditures (CAPEX) can continue to be justified, as the model achieves performance approaching that of U.S. Frontier AI models at a much lower cost. Experts suggest that the emergence of Chinese AI models could, on the other hand, benefit infrastr…

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Quartz broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, July 17, 2026.
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