US EditionAccording to Viktor Zsiday, Fidesz May Have Lost 400-500 Thousand People, and Propaganda Will Not Bring It Additional Votes
4 Articles
4 Articles
Based on economic indicators, it predicted quite accurately how many list votes the governing parties would receive in both 2018 and 2022. The massive propaganda machine did not significantly change the correlation either.
Economic analyst Viktor Zsiday, based on the long-term correlation between real wage growth and the number of votes for the governing parties, concluded that Fidesz-KDNP could have 2.3–2.4 million domestic voters in the 2026 elections, which is 400–500 thousand fewer than four years earlier.
The economic analyst examined the correlation between real wage growth and votes cast for the governing parties, and came to a surprising result.
The former portfolio manager used his statistical models, which had successfully predicted the previous two elections, to see how many voters the ruling parties might have.
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