New Abacus Poll: Prime Minister Carney’s Standing Improves as Liberals Strengthen Ahead of Conservative Convention - Abacus Data

Abacus Data: Liberals Open a Clear Lead as Poilievre Faces Leadership Review

Good morning from Calgary, dear 338Canada readers,The recent shift we have observed in the federal landscape can no longer be attributed to a statistical fluke. After Léger earlier this week, this morning’s new Abacus Data poll finds the Liberals putting some daylight between themselves and the Conservatives in public support. Mark Carney’s image also receives a significant boost.This new poll measures Liberal support at 43% nationally — the hig…

New Abacus Poll: Prime Minister Carney’s Standing Improves as Liberals Strengthen Ahead of Conservative Convention - Abacus Data

Between January 22 and 27, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,498 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave lands at a politically consequential moment. Conservative Party members are set to gather in Calgary for a leadership review of Pierre Poilievre, while Prime Minister Mark Carney has just concluded a high-profile appearance at the World Economic Forum in Davos and a diplomatic trip to China. The survey was also…