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A U.S.-China War over Taiwan: Who Wins?

Key Points and Summary – War in the Taiwan Strait wouldn’t yield a clean U.S. win. China’s missiles, submarines and proximity threaten carriers and forward bases. Taiwan is shifting to asymmetric defense—mobile missiles, hardened infrastructure, civil resilience—but the U.S. industrial base, munitions stocks and repair capacity lag. -Likely phases: opening missile/cyber/space strikes; a brutal sea-denial fight against invasion convoys; possible …

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nationalsecurityjournal.org broke the news in on Friday, September 12, 2025.
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