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[Satire] ‘Will Trump Insult Someone?’… Satire in Prediction Market with ‘Money Duplication’

Summary by 조선일보
Amid analysis that only a tiny fraction of investors make a profit in prediction markets, bets on "Will U.S. President Donald Trump insult someone?" are drawing attention for recording a high win rate. On Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, prediction activity has been underway since the 11th of last month under the theme "Will Trump publicly insult someone on?" Betting dates are posted almost every day.

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Amid analysis that only a tiny fraction of investors make a profit in prediction markets, bets on "Will U.S. President Donald Trump insult someone?" are drawing attention for recording a high win rate. On Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, prediction activity has been underway since the 11th of last month under the theme "Will Trump publicly insult someone on?" Betting dates are posted almost every day.

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조선일보 broke the news on Monday, May 11, 2026.
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