US EditionWill the government shutdown affect next year's election? Recent history provides clues
Both parties use shutdown messaging to target health care and immigration; past shutdowns had mixed electoral effects, with one lasting 35 days, analysts say.
- Political leaders in Washington are blaming the other party to shape messaging for next year's contests, though recent history suggests a lengthy shutdown may not decide the 2026 outcome.
- Policy fights over health care and border funding are the immediate drivers of the shutdown standoff as Democrats insist health coverage concerns be included, while Republican President Donald Trump pressed for billions for a U.S.-Mexico border wall that Senate Democrats rejected.
- House Majority Forward launched a $3 million ad campaign in 10 Republican districts, while Democrats placed digital ads in 35 districts; conservative groups also bought in major markets.
- Historical shutdowns offer mixed lessons, making short-term impacts on elections unclear as both parties treat shutdown messaging as critical with narrow margins in Congress.
- The ad war centers on immigration versus health care as Republicans pivot to immigration, crediting it for last year's gains, while Democrats warn millions could face higher premiums next year without tax credits for marketplaces established through 'Obamacare'.
32 Articles
32 Articles
Will the US government shutdown affect next year's election? Recent history provides clues
Washington politicians blame each other for a potential government shutdown. Both parties launch ad campaigns to influence next year's elections. Democrats focus on healthcare affordability. Republicans highlight immigration and border security. Past shutdowns show mixed electoral impact. The current ad spending suggests bigger future political battles. This messaging war shapes public perception.
Will US Government Shutdown Affect 2026 Poll? Recent History Provides Clues
Political leaders in Washington are spending considerable energy blaming the other party for what could be an extended government shutdown, and that effort includes shaping the narrative for next year's elections.
Associated Press News
Will the government shutdown affect next year's election? Recent history provides clues
Political leaders in Washington are spending much of their energy these days blaming the other party for what could be a significant government shutdown.
Political leaders in Washington spend a considerable amount of energy to blame the other party for what could be a prolonged shutdown—and that effort includes shaping the narrative for next year's elections.
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