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Oil Prices Sustain Months-Long Highs on Fears of US Involvement in Israel-Iran War

  • The military hostilities that erupted on June 13, 2025, involving Israel and Iran have heightened fears about potential disruptions to oil transportation through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • This concern arises because the Strait of Hormuz, a 29 nautical mile-wide passage between Oman and Iran, channels nearly a third of the world's seaborne oil, including about 20 million barrels daily in 2024.
  • Iran controls most islands in the strait, maintains a strong military presence, and the recent conflict has increased electronic interference affecting commercial navigation there, while tanker rates for Middle East to East Asia routes rose almost 20%.
  • Brent crude futures surged more than 4% to settle at $76.45 per barrel, while U.S. crude oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate ended the day at $74.84 per barrel, reflecting concerns that the ongoing conflict may threaten supply chains, with analysts warning that up to 14 million barrels daily could be affected.
  • If conflict prolongs or Iran closes the strait, it could cause major global market impacts, possibly invite U.S. military action, and threaten Iran's economic ties, especially with Gulf Arab states and its main oil customer, China.
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In a context of increasing volatility, the oil market swings between profits and losses, mainly due to the possibility of the US getting involved in the conflict in the Middle East. According to the original report, the futures of Brent crude exceeded $76 per barrel, a noticeable increase compared to pre-attack values.This rise coincides with tensions in the region and the call of U.S. President Donald Trump to an “unconditional surrender” of Ir…

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Deutsche Welle broke the news in Bonn, Germany on Tuesday, June 17, 2025.
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