US EditionIt's 'Sinners' vs 'One Battle' in the Hunt for Oscar Honours
Paul Thomas Anderson’s film leads Best Picture and Director markets with 76% odds after sweeping major precursor awards, while Best Actor remains a close race, prediction markets show.
- On Sunday the 98th Academy Awards air at 7 p.m. ET on ABC, with Warner Bros. Discovery's 'Sinners' facing Paul Thomas Anderson's 'One Battle After Another' at 76% odds, while Coogler's film sits at 21%.
- After sweeping the Golden Globes, Critics' Choice, BAFTA, DGA, PGA and WGA, Paul Thomas Anderson's precursor wins and 92% Best Director odds boost market confidence.
- Traders have wagered over $33 million on Best Picture on Polymarket, up from $16 million at nomination time, and Polymarket's CBS tie-in at the Golden Globes drew record engagement and viewer backlash.
- A strong Oscar night could extend 'Sinners'' commercial run, which earned over $370 million on a $90-100 million budget, while the Best Actor category remains tight with Michael B. Jordan at 57% and Timothée Chalamet at 33% on Polymarket.
- Prediction markets have become a fixture of awards season and now shape narratives around nominees and broadcasts; Best Director and Best Actress appear all but settled, with Jessie Buckley, actress holding 96% for Best Actress after sweeping precursors.
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Hollywood. Experts claim that Sinners and One Battle After Another are head to head in the race for winning the most prestigious Hollywood award, but could Hamnet or The Secret Agent give a surprise?
Oscars 2026: a Duel with an Unpredictable Outcome Between "Sinners" and "One Battle After the Other"
The 98th Oscar ceremony, scheduled for the night of Sunday to Monday, will be unpredictable, with, among other things, a tight duel between "Sinners" and "One battle after the other".
'Sinners', 'One Battle' run neck and neck for Oscar top prize
It's Oscars time, and 10 films are in the running for best picture — Hollywood's most prestigious prize. Pundits predict either "Sinners" or "One Battle After Another" will triumph, but could the likes of "Hamnet" or "The Secret Agent" spring a surprise? Here are the 10 nominees for best picture at the 98th Academy Awards on Sunday: 'Bugonia' The latest pitch-black, absurdist offering from the director of "Poor Things" and "The Favourite," Yorgo…
It's 'Sinners' vs 'One Battle After Another' as Oscars day arrives
This image released by Warner Bros Pictures shows Michael B. Jordan, foreground from left, Michael B. Jordan and Omar Benson Miller in a scene from “Sinners.” (Warner Bros. Pictures via AP) After months of expensive campaigns, the Oscars finally arrive Sunday, with all eyes on the race between “One Battle After Another” and “Sinners” for Best Picture, Hollywood’s most coveted prize. Ahead of the star-packed gala, pundits say the Leonardo DiCapri…
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