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UK’s Reeves Should Break Income Tax Promise in Budget, Think Tank Says

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research says a 3p income tax rise is less harmful than VAT or corporation tax increases to fill a £30 billion fiscal gap.

  • On Friday, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research told British finance minister Rachel Reeves to consider raising income tax in next month's budget to raise $50 billion and fill a fiscal gap.
  • Rising borrowing costs and dropped welfare savings have widened the shortfall, pressuring the government to raise revenues ahead of next month's budget.
  • NIESR's analysis shows value added tax would lower real personal disposable income by nearly 3% and cut GDP by almost 1%, while hiking income tax would reduce GDP by only 0.05%.
  • The think tank warned raising income tax would break the Labour manifesto pledge on "working people" but avoiding it would force more damaging measures, Ed Cornforth, NIESR economist, said.
  • Reeves is considering measures including a bank tax, with analysts estimating combined proposals could raise more than 50 billion, though some would take time to implement.
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Raising income tax is ‘least damaging’ option for Reeves, says think tank

An economic think tank analysed the economic impact of raising income tax, corporation tax and value added tax (VAT).

·London, United Kingdom
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City AM broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Thursday, October 9, 2025.
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