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What Happens To Strategy's Bitcoin Model If Prices Crash To $8,000? Michael Saylor Has A Plan

  • On Sunday, Michael Saylor said Strategy Inc. will convert its convertible debt into equity over three to six years after stating it could cover debt if Bitcoin fell to $8,000.
  • The firm accumulated over $8.2 billion in debt through convertible senior notes and holds 714,644 BTC at an average acquisition cost of $76,056, forming $49 billion in BTC reserves.
  • The firm calculated that in an $8,000 scenario, Bitcoin holdings would be worth $5.7 billion versus a $54.35 billion acquisition cost, implying a $48.6 billion unrealized loss and reserves shrinking to about $6 billion, matching net debt.
  • MSTR shares reacted, closing 8.85% higher at $133.88 on Friday as Michael Saylor said, `We'll refinance the debt.` and the company would avoid issuing additional senior debt.
  • Critics note the stock shows weak momentum ranking across short, medium, and long terms, while economist Peter Schiff wondered if anyone would take Saylor or Bitcoin seriously at $8,000.
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Strategy claims to be able to survive a bitcoin at $8,000, thanks to its 714 644 BTC and a debt spread until 2032, but the balance remains theoretical. The plan is to convert debt into shares to avoid cash repayment, at the risk of a massive dilution of shareholders if the Strategy action remains low. Critics like Capitalists Exploits and Anton Golub estimate that a $8,000 BTC would make the model unsustainable and transfer the risk to individua…

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TokenPost broke the news in on Sunday, February 15, 2026.
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