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Wall Street buying potential Trump tariff refunds for pennies on the dollar

U.S. companies sell rights to potential tariff refunds for immediate cash, with investors betting on a Supreme Court ruling that could total over $100 billion in refunds.

  • On Dec 23, some U.S. companies began selling rights to potential government tariff refunds to outside investors ahead of a Supreme Court case, with a Jefferies LLC division brokering at least one sale to a Boston-based hedge fund.
  • To hedge slow reimbursements, firms sought buyers as Orrick saw demand for refund claims soon after April tariffs; Kids2's CFO called the trades a 'cost recovery action' due to lengthy delays.
  • Atlanta-Based Kids2 accepted a sale of its claim, recovering $2 million of $15 million paid through September despite making 95% of its products in China.
  • More than $100 billion in potential refunds could overwhelm U.S. Customs, as the high court may take months to rule, leaving companies uncertain about timing and payout speed.
  • Wall Street created a secretive market for tariff refund rights, with rates quoted as 16-17% for fentanyl claims and 26-28% for reciprocal claims, while Bissell expressed skepticism about government responses.
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  • 67% of the sources are Center
67% Center

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Market Screener broke the news in on Tuesday, December 23, 2025.
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