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U.S. Sees Negative Net Migration in 2025 for First Time in 50 Years: Brookings Institution

Brookings economists estimate net migration dropped by up to 295,000 in 2025 due to Trump-era border closures, visa restrictions, and reduced refugee admissions, affecting economic growth.

  • On Tuesday, the Brookings Institution reported the United States experienced negative net migration in 2025 for the first time in at least 50 years, estimating net flows between-295,000 and-10,000.
  • President Donald Trump's immigration crackdown curtailed entries, suspending most humanitarian and refugee programs and reducing temporary visa programs in 2025.
  • The report estimates 310,000 to 315,000 removals in 2025, only slightly above 2024's roughly 285,000, while economists estimate roughly 300,000 deportations, below Trump administration removal totals; DHS said 1.9 million undocumented immigrants "voluntarily self-deported" since January 2025.
  • Brookings estimates consumer spending will fall $60 billion to $110 billion across 2025 and 2026 as continued negative net migration likely weakens employment and GDP in U.S. businesses serving immigrant populations.
  • The Brookings numbers clash with the Congressional Budget Office's last-week estimate of around 400,000, while official 2025 migration counts won't be available until later this year amid paused Department of State visa issuance statistics.
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27 Articles

Lean Left

The US recorded a negative migrant trend in 2025, for the first time in at least 50 years, according to a report by the Brookings Institution published yesterday.

·Belgrade, Serbia
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Center

The United States is experiencing a demographic shift with a negative migration balance in 2025, a situation that has been unprecedented for half a century, according to a report by the Brookings Institution.

·France
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Brookings broke the news in on Tuesday, January 13, 2026.
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