MS Amlin Warns Against Hurricane Complacency
3 Articles
3 Articles
US insurer MS Amlin warns against a calm hurricane season in the United States, despite less severe weather conditions. First, the risks remain, second, individual events could cause drastic damage. Specifically, MS Amlin calculated a probability of 27 percent for 2026 that a Category 4 or 5 hurricane would hit the United States. Last year, it was 39 percent. In the Gulf of Mexico, the risk was reduced from 19 percent to 10 percent, while Florid…
US major hurricane landfall risk falls in 2026 outlook, but remains 'far from negligible': MS Amlin
New analysis from insurer MS Amlin has suggested that there is a 27% probability of at least one Category 4 or Category 5 hurricane making landfall during the 2026 season, down from 39% a year ago, as strengthening El Niño conditions suppress Atlantic storm activity. Sam Phibbs, MS Amlin’s Head of Catastrophe Research, said, “A one-in-four chance of a Category 4 or 5 US hurricane landfall is lower than we were seeing a year ago, but it’s still f…

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